Alexander Iskandaryan: I do not rule out repetition of April events  in Artsakh 

ArmInfo. Azerbaijan has adopted a certain strategy in Karabakh issue- to stay in the negotiation process at the same time exerting pressure on the two Armenian states by making statements and escalating the situation on the Line of  Contact, political scientist, Director of Caucasus Institute  Alexander Iskandaryan stated at the press conference on June 26. 

He noted that this policy will continue. Moreover, according to the  political scientist at the moment no key changes are practically  possible in Karabakh conflict. Iskandaryan noted that Azerbaijan very  carefully follows the political developments taking place in both  Armenian states, trying to understand whether it can benefit from the  current situation. "Certainly, at first Baku was expecting that  security system will collapse and that is why it accumulated  equipment along the line of contact but as this did not happen,  Azerbaijan refrained from military actions", the expert noted. 

The political scientist noted that currently Baku conducts quite  aggressive policy and the Defense Minister's statements and process  of militarization testify to this. "Prior to April war Azerbaijan had  spent significant amounts of money on purchasing weapons, now it does  not have such resources. However, in order to demonstrate that  acquisition of weapons continues the authorities of Azerbaijan  sometimes purchase high price equipment such as US Bell-412  helicopters", Iskandaryan stressed.  The expert also ruled out the  possibility of a full-scale war between Artsakh and Azerbaijan,  however, did not exclude the possibility of a repetition of the April  events. According to the political scientist there will t be no  large-scale war, as the opportunities of major achievements are very  poor while the risks are too high.  "Such an escalation can happen  again, at about the same scale, however, one must take into account  that the situation is completely different at the moment. For  example, Artsakh has significantly strengthened its positions on the  contact line, and Baku learned lessons from the April events, "the  political scientist noted.  In this light Iskandaryan noted that all  the recent activity that took place in Nakhijevan is just a PR stunt.   "Baku can try to attack from Nakhchivan only in case of a full-scale  war, and such a war is not expected in the near future," the expert  said.