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 Wednesday, July 2 2025 19:10

Deterioration of relations between Azerbaijan and Russia should be  considered in the format of a geopolitical matryoshka - political  scientist

Deterioration of relations between Azerbaijan and Russia should be  considered in the format of a geopolitical matryoshka - political  scientist

ArmInfo. The deterioration of relations between Azerbaijan and Russia should be considered not separately, but in the format of a with the participation of Turkey, Iran and, of course, Great Britain. This viewpoint was expressed by the well-known Bulgarian analyst and internationalist Plamen Paskov on his YouTube channel.  Moreover, an attempt to not take into account at least one of the components of the will lead to a very incomplete, to put it mildly, distorted picture.

According to Paskov, if Azerbaijan's relations with Russia were  subjective and self-sufficient, then there would never have been  problems between the two countries. This is not only a matter of the  presence of a huge Azerbaijani diaspora in Russia sending billions of  money home, but also of Russia providing Baku with high-quality  Chechen oil, that is mixed with low-quality Baku oil and then  exported. These are also purely economic ties between the countries.

However, the reason for the strained relations is the presence of the  Turkish factor. Namely, Azerbaijan is gradually becoming a vilayet of  Turkey, albeit informally at this point. This process of  vilayetization dictates the need for a stable land strategic  logistics road between Turkey and Azerbaijan through the Nakhichevan  autonomy, which is already undergoing the final process of Turkish  infiltration. The 40-km section of southern Armenia, which serves as  a border communication between Iran and Armenia, and then Russia,  hinders Turkey from implementing this plan. Consequently, one of the  necessary and useful channels of communication between Iran and  Russia is severed, as these channels are  crucial not only  diplomatically, but also in terms of military, economic and strategic  importance.

Therefore, when it comes to Turkey's geopolitical need for this  corridor, Paskov is convinced that it is necessary to take into  account the long-term interests of Great Britain in this region. In  fact, the political scientist believes that Britain is the ultimate  beneficiary of this process, pushing and helping Turkey and  Azerbaijan in implementing the project.  In his opinion, Turkey, as  it was, with short breaks of world wars, remains an important subject  representative of Great Britain, This continues to drive a wedge   between Russia and Azerbaijan, while also keeping relations between  Turkey and Russia at a certain distance, despite the presence of  great mutual interests in energy, economic, trade and investment.  Therefore, examples of excessive closeness between Turkey and Russia  end either with the murder of the Russian Ambassador, which is  certainly a casus belli, or with the shooting down of a Russian  attack aircraft over Syria. Therefore, Turkey behaves in relation to  Russia sinusoidally, without a certain stable line of behavior.

And Turkey should have shown gratitude and treated Russia, with at  least,  some level of respect. But Turkey hasn't done so,  they sell  to Ukraine, quarrels with Russia about the grain deal,  etc.  So the actions of  Erdogan and Aliyev do align with their  greater self-sufficient interests>, Paskov noted.  This means, he  believes, that there is another factor at play and this factor is  called Great Britain, which is no less eager than Turkey to cut Iran   from Russia and has been considering ways to weaken Iran, including  by supporting separatism in the so-called Iranian Azerbaijan, where  its agent network has long been working no worse, and even better  than Mossad. Paskov believes that Turkey currently is  boldly  expanding its influence in the Russian Caucasus and skillfully  infiltrating the Volga region of Russia, with assistance from  Azerbaijan.

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